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From Galwan Conflict to Cautious Thaw: How India China Relations Have Changed
Asia

From Galwan Conflict to Cautious Thaw: How India China Relations Have Changed

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Following the clash, India increased scrutiny of Chinese investments, technology companies and digital applications.

India China relations have moved from a period of intense military tension to a cautious phase of diplomatic engagement following the deadly Galwan Valley clash of 2020. The two countries have taken several steps to reduce tensions along the Line of Actual Control, while continuing to face significant differences over the boundary and broader strategic issues.

The relationship was severely affected by developments in eastern Ladakh in 2020. The Galwan Valley confrontation resulted in the deaths of Indian and Chinese soldiers and became one of the most serious military crises between the two countries in decades. Following the clash, India increased scrutiny of Chinese investments, technology companies and digital applications. Several Chinese mobile applications were banned in India as security concerns became a major part of the bilateral relationship.

The military standoff also resulted in the deployment of large numbers of troops and equipment along the disputed border. India and China subsequently began a series of diplomatic and military-level discussions aimed at achieving disengagement at several friction points.

A significant development came in October 2024, when India and China reached an agreement on patrolling arrangements in the Depsang and Demchok areas of eastern Ladakh. India's Ministry of External Affairs later confirmed that the agreement was implemented and resulted in disengagement in those areas.

The disengagement helped create conditions for a gradual improvement in bilateral relations. Prime Minister Narendra Modi and Chinese President Xi Jinping held talks on the sidelines of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation summit in Tianjin in August 2025. During that meeting, both leaders noted the positive momentum in bilateral relations and stressed the importance of maintaining peace and tranquillity along the border. They also discussed strengthening people to people relations and improving economic and trade ties.

The improvement has also been visible in areas involving travel and public exchanges. Direct flight services between India and China resumed in October 2025 after a prolonged suspension. The Kailash Mansarovar Yatra also resumed for Indian pilgrims in 2025 and continued in 2026. These developments marked a gradual return of some people to people links between the two countries.

Economic relations are another important part of the changing relationship. India and China remain major trading partners, despite concerns over the trade imbalance and India's continued scrutiny of Chinese investments in sensitive sectors. Both sides have shown interest in improving economic engagement while maintaining national security considerations.

The business relationship, however, has not returned completely to its earlier position. Regulatory restrictions, investment concerns, visa-related issues and strategic mistrust continue to influence commercial ties. Recent reporting indicates that businesses on both sides remain cautious even as governments work towards improving diplomatic relations.

Border issues remain the most important unresolved challenge. Although disengagement has taken place at several locations, India and China have not reached a final settlement of their long-standing boundary dispute. Both countries continue to maintain military infrastructure and deployments in border areas, making continued communication between their armed forces and diplomatic establishments important.

In August 2026, the two countries held the 25th round of talks between their Special Representatives on the boundary question. India and China agreed on several measures, including strengthening border management mechanisms, adding military communication channels and continuing discussions on a framework for resolving the boundary issue. The two sides also agreed to continue cooperation on trans-border rivers and border trade.

The current phase of India China relations can therefore be described as a cautious thaw rather than a complete restoration of trust. Both countries have recognised the importance of preventing another serious border confrontation, while also seeking greater cooperation in areas where their interests overlap.

The upcoming meeting between Prime Minister Narendra Modi and President Xi Jinping during the 2026 BRICS Summit in New Delhi is significant in this context. The meeting comes after several years of military and diplomatic tensions and follows gradual efforts to stabilise the relationship. Issues such as border management, trade, investment, travel and broader regional cooperation are expected to remain important areas of discussion.

India's approach continues to emphasise peace and tranquillity along the border as an important condition for broader improvement in relations. China has also expressed support for strengthening communication and cooperation while managing differences between the two countries.

Despite the recent progress, major challenges remain. The unresolved boundary question, military deployments, trade imbalances, strategic competition and differences over regional security continue to limit the scope for a complete reset.

The trajectory of India China relations will therefore depend on whether the two countries can maintain stability along the border while gradually rebuilding economic and people to people connections. The recent diplomatic engagement provides an opportunity for both sides to reduce tensions, but lasting improvement will require sustained dialogue, confidence building and progress on unresolved issues.

Recent reporting indicates that businesses on both sides remain cautious even as governments work towards improving diplomatic relations.