The India Meteorological Department has predicted spells of rain and snowfall across Jammu and Kashmir as two western disturbances are expected to impact the region in the coming days. The forecast brings relief after a prolonged dry spell that has marked much of this winter season in the Union Territory.
Srinagar experienced a colder morning on Thursday, with the minimum temperature settling at minus 3.4 degrees Celsius, which was 1.1 degrees below the normal average. A day earlier, the city had recorded a minimum temperature of minus 2.4 degrees Celsius. The drop in temperature reflects changing weather conditions ahead of the approaching disturbances.
According to the Srinagar Meteorological Office, the first western disturbance is likely to begin affecting the region from the evening of January 22. Widespread rainfall is expected across Jammu and Kashmir, with some districts likely to receive heavier precipitation. Areas including South Kashmir, the Chenab Valley, and the Pir Panjal range are expected to witness significant rainfall and snowfall, particularly during the night hours.
Meteorologists have indicated that heavy rain and snowfall cannot be ruled out in higher-altitude regions during this period. The wet spell is expected to improve soil moisture levels and benefit water resources, which have been under pressure due to limited precipitation during the winter so far.
A second western disturbance of moderate intensity is forecast to affect the region from the evening of January 26. This system is also expected to bring widespread rain and snowfall, particularly in mountainous areas. Following the passage of the second disturbance, weather conditions are likely to improve gradually, with only occasional cloud cover and no major weather activity anticipated.
Authorities have advised residents and travelers to remain cautious and stay updated with official weather advisories. Those planning journeys, especially through hilly and mountainous routes, have been urged to check road and weather conditions in advance, as snowfall may affect connectivity in some areas.
The predicted weather activity comes as the 40-day harsh winter period known as Chillaikala approaches its end on January 30. Chillaikala is traditionally associated with extreme cold, heavy snowfall, and prolonged sub-zero temperatures in Kashmir. However, this year the period remained largely dry, with below-average snowfall across many parts of the Valley.
Weather experts note that the lack of precipitation during Chillaikala raised concerns about water availability and agricultural impact. The upcoming western disturbances are therefore seen as a positive development, potentially easing some of the seasonal deficits.
Overall, the forecasted rain and snowfall are expected to bring a change in weather patterns across Jammu and Kashmir, marking a shift from the dry winter conditions experienced so far. Residents have been encouraged to remain vigilant and follow updates issued by the meteorological department over the coming days.
